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May 08, 2005

メモリカードは統一されない

デジカメ用のメモリカードが統一されることはないと思います。
もし統一されるというような事態が訪れるとしたら、それは、
今の形態のメモリカードが表舞台から去るときだと思います。

VHSとベータの競争がありました。
家庭用ビデオテープの主役の座を巡って
東のソニーと西の松下が戦いを繰り広げました。
この戦いは
豊富なソフトを味方につけたVHSが技術のベータに勝った
と一般には言われています。

しかし、私はそうは思いません。
負けたのはベータではなく、
テープメディアそのものだったのではないでしょうか。
VHSの天下が訪れたそのときには、
すでに主役の座は
「ビデオテープ」から「光ディスク(DVD)」に
移りかわろうとしていたからです。

その後、レンタルビデオ店に並んでいたビデオテープは
そのほとんどがDVDに入れ替わりました。
ビデオショップに並ぶセルビデオも
ほとんどがDVDになりました。
郵便受けに投函される怪しげな裏ビデオのチラシも
DVDに切り替わりつつあります。

そこには、もはやVHSの天下など存在しません。

ビデオソフトの入れ物はDVDになりつつあります。
そしてVHSが勝利を収めたときのように
DVDが勝利を収めつつあるように見えています。

しかし、DVDの勝利すらVHSの歴史を繰り返しているように思います。
記録方式をめぐった競争をしている間に、
家庭用録画メディアの主役は、HDDになりつつあります。
そして光ディスク(DVD)は補佐的なサブメディアとなりつつあります。

ビデオソフトの供給媒体としての役割は
高速ネットワークの整備に伴ってオンデマンド放送へと
移行してしまうことでしょう。

乱立するフラッシュメモリカードも同様だと思います。
バトルフィールドがあると思って戦っているうちが華なのです。
バトルフィールドに敵がいなくなったとき、それが意味することは
バトルフィールドそのものがなくなってしまった、
もしくは変質したということなのです。

記録メディアの種類は選択したデジカメによって決定されてしまいますが、
初めてのデジカメの選択にあたって
メディアの種類が最大の選択要因となることはないでしょう。
なぜなら、デジカメのメモリカードは
永遠にその中にデータを保存する保存メディアではなく、
一時的に保存するだけの繰り返し利用可能なメディアだからです。
仮に供給がなくなっても、ベータテープがなくなったときのようには
困らないのです。

言い換えると、乱立するメモリカードのバトルフィールドには、
すでにバトルは存在していない、ということです。
共存状態にあるからです。

この状況では、
主要メンバーがデジカメ事業から撤退してメディアが入手困難になる
という状況を除いて、メディアが減る方向に向かうことはありません。

これは、ビデオテープの例よりも国と言語の関係に近いかもしれません。
MSとSDの使えるKonicaのカメラは
英語と中国語を公用語にしている国を彷彿させますね。

では、先に書いたメモリカードのバトルフィールドそのものがなくなる
という状況はどのようなものでしょうか。

私たちが見たり感じたことは日本語や英語で表現し、
何かのメディアに載せて人に渡さないと伝えることができません。
でもテレパシーのような手段で心の中のイメージを直接伝えること
ができるようになれば、メディアや言葉の種類は重要ではなくなります。

デジカメも同じことをしています。
記録メディア(メモリカード)なんか使わなくても、
直接他の機器と通信できて、レンズで捕らえたものを伝えられるなら
シャッターを押した瞬間にデータセンターに記録されるなら、
メディアは要らなくなります。

それまではいろんな言葉が必要なのかもしれません。

さて、この記事は、木村剛モノログ横丁のお題へのトラックバックとして書きました。
>そこで皆さんにお尋ねですが、どちらのカードをどれぐらいお持ちでしょうか?
>またその使用頻度はどんな感じですか?
という問いかけに対して、私の状況は、、、

 メモリスティック256MB 1枚 ...デジカメ用メインカード
 SDカード16MB 1枚 ...デジカメ付属(お蔵入り)
 SDカード512MB 1枚 ...ZAURUS用メインカード(MP3データ用)
 Mini-SD 1枚 ...携帯電話付属(入れっぱなし)
 コンパクトフラッシュ たくさん(今となってはお蔵入り)

と、こんなところでしょうか。
ちなみに私はノートPCのふた(画面の裏側)に
マルチカードリーダを両面テープで貼り付けて使っています。
今のところこれで不自由はありませんので。

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